Showing posts with label Nicholas Stern. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nicholas Stern. Show all posts

Sunday, June 7, 2009

Sniff the Zeitgeist


The wind has shifted.
 
George Negus' pathetically soft interview about climate change with Lord Nicholas Stern on SBS has produced an interesting reaction even from SBS's own viewers.
 
Most are outraged about Negus' fawning over Stern and his inability to ask a single hard question.
 
He finishes the interview with this typically trite and shallow observation: Why do I get the idea that Lord Stern just might have been trying to tell us to grow up - politically, that is.
 
Here's a question that Negus could have asked, if he had been arsed enough to do some research:
 
Why did Stern use a social discount rate of only around 2% in finding that the costs of doing nothing now would be greater than acting now, when he knows full well that the accepted figure should have been around 4%?
 
Why, despite devoting not a few words in his review to the importance of the social discount rate, did he not mention in the review the rate he used? (People had to badger Her Majesty's Treasury to get the figure - so much for a supposedly "independent" review!)
 
What is is about climate change boosters and hiding stuff? Whether it's Stern or the Hockey Stick's Michael Mann, is the reason they act like they have something to hide the fact that they do have something to hide?
 
(Well, in the case of Michael Mann it turned out he did definitely have something hide.)
 
Now, Back to Senator Steve Fielding.
 
He's recently returned from a conference of sceptics in Washington and he's got some questions for Senator Penny Wong.
 
He hasn't made up his mind yet, but at least, unlike George Negus, he does appear to have an open mind.
 

Posted via email from Garth's posterous

Friday, May 8, 2009

As a general rule, I do not believe in reviewing bad books


A load of hot air

Wednesday, 29th April 2009
A Blueprint for a Safer Planet: How to Manage Climate Change and Create a new Era of Progress and Prosperity, by Nicholas Stern
 
As a general rule, I do not believe in reviewing bad books. Review space is limited, and the many good books that are published deserve first claim on it. But climate change is such an important subject, and — thanks to heavy promotion by that great publicist, Tony Blair — the Stern Review of the economics of climate change has become so well known (not least to the vast majority who have never read it, among whom in all probability is Mr Blair), that anything from Lord Stern deserves some attention.
 
However, anyone looking for anything new in this rather arrogant book — all those who dissent from Stern’s analysis, his predictions, or his prescriptions are dismissed as ‘both ignorant and reckless’ (the word ‘ignorant’ recurs frequently) — will be disappointed. The first half of the book is a rehash of the original Stern Review, and the second half a rehash of his lengthy 2008 LSE study Key Elements of a Global Deal on Climate Change. This last is an exercise in political naivety which does not improve on its second outing; and the European Union leadership trumpeted by Stern (‘We can expect the EU and its member countries to continue to drive forward action on climate change’) has already collapsed with the back-tracking at the EU climate summit last December, after this book went to press.
 
 

Posted via email from Garth's posterous