Team Fielding leads Team Wong 4-0

Very interesting opinion piece by Michael Astern, a professorial fellow at Monash University's school of geosciences, in this morning's The Australian. I think he'd score it 2-1 in Team Fielding's favour.   Though, if you include Fielding's 'behind' or unconverted try, then the score is more like 3-1.   And quite frankly, the "charitable" goal given to Team Wong should be overturned by the video referee in my view.   As the IPCC itself admits, climate models are incapable of actually predicting anything for the simple reason that they bare no relationship to the observed real world climate. There is much that we don't know about the climate and this is of course completely missing from the models. Other parts we only partly understand and thus our modelling of these parts of the system is necessarily incomplete and unsatisfactory. Basically educated guess work.   The recently announced Indian Ocean oscillation that we now know controls rainfall in south-eastern Australia was unknown even up to a couple of years ago, and has never been factored into any of the models.   So I'm scoring it 4-0 at the moment.   Astern refers to this article, Reason clouded by carbon obsession, by Peter Schwerdtfeger, emeritus professor of meteorology at Flinders University in Adelaide from yesterday's issue, that amongst other things argues that declining rainfall, blamed on climate change driven by increasing CO2 emissions, is in fact caused by increasing amounts of minute particulate pollution.

Posted via email from Garth's posterous