Friday, June 25, 2010

Is the Nielsen poll a rogue?

Reader Scott doesn’t trust that Nielsen poll claiming a 55-45 lead for Gillard’s Government:
The headline 2PP figures of ALP 55 - 45 Coalition are really misleading.

If you take a look at the Nielsen tables it’s almost all exclusively from Victoria where all of a sudden the ALP is getting 67% 2pp in this poll.The coalition is leading in WA, SA/NT, QLD and the result is close in NSW.

I would consider this to be a rogue poll due to the ‘The PM is a Victorian!’ novelty factor.
Victoria was the state where Rudd was doing well, too. It will do Gillard little good to be popular in Victoria if she can’t win votes in NSW and Queensland in particular.

Posted via email from Garth's posterous

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